Horacio Pozzo

It does click herein order to acquire the Course. In the last months, we have been present at a recovery in the real estate market. The prices of the houses have raised in July by third consecutive month, the requests of mortgages reached in the month of September their maximum in four months by the fall in the interest rates and the inventory of houses has been reduced. The requests of loans to even buy a house, an advanced indicator of the sales, it has raised in September the greater level from beginnings of January. It pretends but it is not the real thing in the real estate market. The aid that received the buyers (with a credit of US$ 8,000 for a first buyer) that will extend until the month of November, maintain a demand without solid foundations. The weakness of the labor market with a leisure that follows in growth and the persistent problems in the American financial system is elements that anticipate a reversion in the behavior of a real estate demand that will follow suspended.

Part of the problems that exist from the side of the demand in the American real estate market, stays still hidden generating a risk latent of new episodes of crisis. According to a report of the banking regulators, more than half of indebted hypothecating with credits renegotiated in first half of the last year, they later observe a delay of at least two months in the payment of its quotas a year. For the next months great losses in the credits do not discard real estate commercial that puts in jams to the American organizations financial, leaving in clearly in addition, that this segment of the real estate sector far is of its recovery. And while the number of houses without selling would have touched bottom, the prices would be on the verge of falling still more, increasing the pressure on the economy again. For the economist Robert Shiller of Yale University, the perspective are still more dark.

Shiller that outside one of that it anticipated the crisis in the American real estate market, foretold that the prices of the houses will delay time in recovering enough. Although the programs of stimulus and the plan of purchase of assets of the EDF have contributed to maintain the prices of the houses, the same, as we would mention previously, will finish in just a short time reason why the market will lose forces. Neither in the sky, nor in hell. The American economy in particular, and the global economy generally, still are in purgatorio, cleaning their faults of a crisis that not yet has finished. Prudence would have more to be the mentioned word in this end of the recession. If they want it to the markets to avoid, from the governments one would be due to implement with concrete measures. In addition, the fragilities and risks that still persist must be monitored close by and having predicted plans of emergencia to respond to possible new episodes of crisis. Will be able to be consolidated the recovery or the excess of optimism will take to new relapses?

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